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Oil prices surged at the end of April and into May 2026 as the Iran conflict showed little sign of resolution and the Strait of Hormuz remained effectively closed.
Brent crude briefly hit $126.41 a barrel on April 30 before settling around $111 for July delivery; U.S. West Texas Intermediate traded in the mid-$105s.
Markets have priced in a sustained supply shock after Tehran restricted traffic through the vital waterway that normally carries about one-fifth of global oil and LNG shipments, while the U.S. Navy enforces a blockade of Iranian exports.
A fragile ceasefire has been in place since April 8 but talks have stalled, and Iranian threats of retaliation and reports the U.S. was briefing options for fresh strikes pushed volatility higher.
The disruption has translated quickly to pump prices: AAAâs national average rose to about $4.39 per gallon by May 1, with California averaging roughly $6.06, and analysts warn Brent could climb much higher if the strait stays closed for months.
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Social Summary
Readers flagged that market signals (futures) and physical supply realities diverge: shipping and refining lags can delay or amplify consumer price pain. Data reminders about the 2022 spike timing and tradersâ sensitivity to news provide useful context for interpreting current volatility.






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