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European Central Bank Governing Council member Martin Kocher said on May 11 that the ECB may need to raise interest rates soon if the inflation outlook does not improve significantly.
Speaking to Switzerlandās Neue Zürcher Zeitung, Kocher noted that energy prices have been pushed up by the conflict involving Iran and cautioned against presuming the ECBās next move ahead of its June 11 policy meeting.
He defended the decision to hold off on an April hike but said a near-term tightening could become unavoidable if energy costs remain elevated.
Kocher warned that prolonged high energy prices could raise the risk of secondāround inflation effects via wages, although he observed that there have not yet been many wage negotiations since the war began.
He also said the conflict has jeopardised recoveries in Germany and Austria and that a stagflationary outcome cannot be ruled out even as the labour market remains resilient.
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