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Singapore’s Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) on May 25 maintained its 2026 GDP growth forecast at 2–4% after the economy expanded 6.0% year-on-year in Q1, outperforming an earlier advance estimate of 4.6%. On a seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter basis GDP rose 1.0%. MTI said growth was driven by wholesale trade, manufacturing and finance and insurance, with robust AI-related demand lifting machinery, electronics and precision engineering segments.
However, it warned that the Middle East conflict — including disruption to supplies through the Strait of Hormuz — has significantly increased downside risks, raising energy and input costs and weighing on fuels, chemicals and transport-related sectors.
The ministry noted risks from a potential pullback in global AI capital spending and renewed tariff actions.
Monetary Authority of Singapore tightened policy earlier this year and has raised inflation forecasts; MTI said it will continue to monitor developments and adjust the forecast if necessary.
The government expects domestic offsets such as CDC vouchers and budget payments to cushion household spending.





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