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Federal prosecutors and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission are investigating former U.S. representative George Santos after the prediction-market platform Kalshi flagged suspicious trades tied to his public statements about attending President Donald Trumpâs State of the Union on Feb. 24, 2026, multiple outlets reported on June 3.
Santos posted a video saying he would be in the gallery the day before the speech, which pushed his odds of attendance sharply higher on Kalshi; minutes into the address he said on X he was delayed at an airport.
Kalshi detected trades that allegedly bet against his presence and froze the account before referring the activity to regulators.
Reports say Santos cashed out before odds collapsed; exact amounts are unclear.
The inquiry has prompted market fallout: Polymarket said it is ending a paid relationship with Santos.
Authorities have in recent months pursued other prediction-market cases, including a charged Google employee and an active-duty soldier, heightening scrutiny of the rapidly growing sector.







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