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A leaked classified Vietnamese defence paper — titled “The 2nd US Invasion Plan” and compiled by the Ministry of Defence in August 2024 — shows Hanoi has been preparing contingency plans for a potential US-led attack, The 88 Project said in a report published in early February 2026.
The document describes the United States as a “belligerent” power and warns Washington and its allies could use unconventional warfare, maritime operations and pretexts such as democracy promotion to destabilise Vietnam.
It says there is currently “little risk of a war” but urges vigilance and revisions to combat plans to guard against political “colour revolutions” and exploitation of Vietnam’s long coastline.
The leak comes after Vietnam and the United States elevated ties to a Comprehensive Strategic Partnership in 2023.
Vietnam’s foreign ministry did not publicly respond to requests for comment; the US State Department declined to comment on the specific paper while reiterating support for the bilateral partnership.
Analysts cited in coverage say the document exposes tensions between the military-aligned conservative faction and Hanoi’s diplomatic outreach to Washington.
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South China Morning Post (SCMP)Vietnam prepared for possible war against ‘belligerent’ US, secret paper shows
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Social Summary
The paper appears consistent with routine defence planning and internal political caution. Its publication timing and rhetoric reflect domestic military concern about foreign influence, but do not demonstrate that Vietnam intends to join a US anti‑China coalition.













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