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Payroll processor ADP reported on Feb. 4 that U.S. private-sector employers added just 22,000 jobs in January, roughly half the Dow Jones consensus of about 45,000 and below December’s revised gain of 37,000.
Job growth was heavily concentrated in education and health services, which added an estimated 74,000 positions; by contrast professional and business services shed 57,000 jobs and manufacturing fell by 8,000.
Medium-sized firms (50–499 employees) accounted for most net gains while large employers cut about 18,000 roles.
ADP’s release also showed annual pay for job-stayers up 4.5% and pay for job-changers slowing to 6.4%. The report incorporated an annual benchmarking to QCEW through March 2025, lowering ADP’s historical job tallies.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics has delayed the official January nonfarm payrolls release to Feb. 11 and moved the January CPI to Feb. 13 after a brief partial government shutdown, leaving markets to scrutinize private data for near-term signals.
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Data points to a downturn in manufacturing/construction investment and reporting from reputable outlets suggests layoffs tagged as 'AI' often reflect other factors. Together these imply the ADP shortfall likely reflects real weakness in industrial and business-sector hiring rather than a pure AI-driven shift.






















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