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Graphic Packaging Holding Co reported weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results and issued conservative FY2026 guidance, triggering analyst downgrades and a slide in its shares in early February 2026.
On Feb. 3 the company posted Q4 net sales of $2.10 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $311 million; adjusted EPS was $0.29, below consensus.
Management set 2026 guidance of $0.75–1.15 EPS and adjusted EBITDA of $1.05–1.25 billion, with revenue of $8.4–8.6 billion and projected free cash flow of $700–800 million.
New CEO Robbert Rietbroek announced a comprehensive operational review and a transformation office focused on inventory reduction (about $260 million targeted in 2026), cost discipline and lower capex (roughly $450 million planned for 2026). The company said Waco mill costs rose to about $1.67 billion, contributing to higher 2025 capex of $935 million and net leverage of roughly 3.8x.
Analysts including Wells Fargo and Truist cut price targets (to about $11 and $14 respectively) on Feb. 4.
Institutional holders remain large — institutional ownership reported near 99.7% — even as the stock hit 52‑week lows following the update.






















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