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China’s economy expanded 5.0% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026, official National Bureau of Statistics data released on April 16 showed, beating Reuters and market forecasts (4.8%) and improving on a 4.5% pace in Q4.
Quarterly growth was 1.3% (in line with forecasts). March industrial output rose 5.7% year-on-year while retail sales slowed to 1.7%. January–March fixed-asset investment grew 1.7%, and property investment plunged about 11.2% year-on-year.
Exports were a bright spot for the quarter overall (January–March exports up double digits), but March export growth eased sharply to around 2.5%, reflecting higher energy and transport costs linked to the conflict in West Asia.
Factory-gate prices rose in March for the first time in years.
Beijing has front-loaded fiscal support, increased bond issuance and signalled continued accommodative monetary policy; the Politburo is set to review the outlook later in April.
Markets reacted positively to the data with Chinese equities rising and the onshore yuan largely unchanged.







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